| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 2026 | W | Jacksonville State | 33-7 | 1577.2 | +32.9 | 1610.0 | 71.0% |
| 1 | Sep 5 2026 | W | Fordham | 38-0 | 1577.2 | +32.9 | 1610.0 | 97.5% |
| 2 | Sep 13 2026 | W | Air Force | 38-32 | 1610.0 | -28.1 | 1581.9 | 63.6% |
| 3 | Sep 20 2026 | W | Sacramento State | 31-10 | 1581.9 | +30.7 | 1612.6 | 86.7% |
| 5 | Oct 3 2026 | W | Wyoming | 28-0 | 1600.8 | +15.4 | 1616.2 | 78.5% |
| 6 | Oct 10 2026 | L | UNLV | 7-13 | 1616.2 | -18.2 | 1598.0 | 60.6% |